Following our blog piece New Climate Show the Need for New Marketing Models it seems that drought may effect production in eastern Europe. Reports coming out of Kazakhstan indicate dry conditions for spring planting that will reduce yields.
Agricultural meteorologist Bryce Anderson.commented "Considering that Kazakhstan is already down on soil moisture, I think planting will quite likely be done with less than desirable soil moisture." This comment was backed up by specialist consultants IKAR which tracks grain output in the former Soviet Union. “There are many indirect signs that Kazakhstan will have a problematic crop in the next season,” said Dmitry Rylko, their general director, "exports will most likely decline in the next season."
It could be beneficial for UK livestock producers to seek to secure supplies of UK grain for at least a proportion of their requirements to protect themselves from possible price spikes should exports from eastern Europe become unreliable.
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